Iran Accepts Nuclear Deal….JUST KIDDING, DON’T BELIEVE IT!!!
As if the Iranian nuclear stalemate could not get any more confusing, reports are suggesting that President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is once again open to a deal with the west. Or, to take his own words into consideration, Iran has “no problem” in sending some of its enriched uranium overseas in exchange for higher-grade nuclear fuel.
What a turnaround by the Iranian Government! Days ago, Tehran was churning up uranium just as it continued to spit right in the face of the United Nations. The situation became so bleak that U.S. State officials spoke of the need to adopt a new approach to the Iranian nuclear program (and when I say new approach, I mean targeted sanctions). The U.S. Congress even “upt-the-ante” by announcing bipartisan support for a bill that would sanction any company who worked with Iran.
With Ahmadinejad’s power threatened by a harsh American response, it appears that he has decided to magically cave-in to western demands and accept the U.N. nuclear deal on its face. Sounds great. Unfortunately, the very idea of Iranian compliance is comical.
I hate to add some realism to the story, but there is no way that President Ahmadinejad is sincere about a new nuclear bargain. Iran has been stonewalling the International Atomic Energy Agency (along with the United Nations) for close to five years, and now all of a sudden this same country is willing to export most of its uranium out of the country for 4-5 months? Really? Are we honestly going to believe this? Ahmadinejad really must think that Americans like us are stupid.
At this point in time, there is no turning back for Tehran on the nuclear issue. Iranian scientists have done all the leg work themselves and are now a screwdriver short of turning the fuse. After so much success in developing its nuclear program- a program that Iranians of all political affiliations support- Iran would be foolish to succumb to U.S. pressure now.
Heck, Ahmadinejad would be suicidal if he even thought that such a deal was worth the anguish, given the current political environment in Iran. Remember what happened when he agreed “in principle” to the original U.N. nuclear deal in October? He came back to Iran and got lambasted by Moussavi and his Green supporters for handing over the hard work of Iranians to westerners. The criticism was so great that Ahmadinejad was forced to reconsider.
I don’t know how many times I have said this, but it is worth repeating; the nuclear program is much more than a scientific project. It is now a significant part of Iranian nationalism. And whenever nationalism is involved, getting what you want is exceedingly difficult.
-Daniel R. DePetris
**Comments courtesy of the Economist**